UCL Quarterfinals: Stats, Predictions & Full First Leg Guide
The UCL quarterfinals will deliver four high-intensity clashes during the first legs in the coming week. Europe’s biggest clubs will fight for an early advantage in two-legged ties.
History, current form and key player stats will play a major role in shaping these results.
You will see familiar rivalries, strong home records and attacking trends across all 4 matches. Some teams dominate head-to-head records. Others rely on recent form and goal-scoring consistency.
This guide simplifies key stats and trends so you can make informed decisions quickly.
Tuesday, 7 April
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich
This is the most played fixture in UEFA history with 28 meetings. Real Madrid lead with 13 wins, while Bayern have 11 wins and 4 draws.
Real Madrid will play their 41st quarterfinal. Bayern will feature for the 36th time. In the Champions League era, Bayern lead with 24 quarterfinal appearances compared to Madrid’s 22.
Madrid have dominated recent meetings. They have won the last 4 two-legged ties, including a 4-3 aggregate win in the 2023/24 semi-finals. They have also won all 3 previous quarterfinal clashes between the teams.
The Los Blancos are unbeaten in their last 9 UEFA matches against Bayern (W7 D2). At home, they are unbeaten in 8 games (W7 D1). The Los Blancos have also won their last 9 two-legged ties against German teams.
Bayern have struggled against Spanish teams. They have lost 7 of their last 8 two-legged ties and 4 of their last 5 quarterfinal ties overall.
However, Bayern’s away form remains strong with just one loss in their last 8 Champions League away games (W6 D1).
UCL tips & predictions:
- Real Madrid to win or draw (strong home dominance)
- Both teams to score (high attacking quality)
- Vinicius Junior to score (13 of last 15 UCL goals came in second half)
- Harry Kane to score anytime (14 goals in last 13 UCL games)
Clean sheet chance: Low for both teams
Sporting CP vs Arsenal
Arsenal lead the head-to-head (W2 D3). They won 5-1 in Portugal earlier this season. However, Sporting knocked them out on penalties in the 2022/23 Europa League.
English clubs dominate this fixture historically. They have won the last 10 UCL two-legged ties against Portuguese teams.
Sporting have won only 2 of their last 13 UEFA matches against English sides. However, they have won 9 of their 10 two-legged ties against English teams overall.
Arsenal are strong in this matchup. They come with a great domestic season where they are top of the Premier League table. The Gunners have lost only one of their last 11 UEFA games against Portuguese teams (W5 D5). They are also unbeaten in the first leg of their last 8 quarterfinal ties (W3 D5).
UCL tips & predictions:
- Arsenal to avoid defeat
- Over 2.5 goals possible
- Viktor Gyokeres impact watch (97 goals in 102 games for Sporting before 2025 move)
- Luis Suarez to score (goals in last 3 UCL home matches)
Clean sheet chance: Arsenal moderate, Sporting low
Wednesday, 8 April
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid
Atleti have won both previous UCL quarterfinal ties against Barcelona. Barcelona have struggled against Spanish teams in Europe with just 4 wins in 11 two-legged ties.
Barcelona’s home form is strong. They have lost only 2 of their last 18 UEFA home matches (W13 D3). They have won their last 4, scoring 19 goals.
Barca have scored in 29 of their last 30 Champions League matches. However, they have not kept a clean sheet in their last 13 games.
Atleti matches produce goals. Their last 34 UEFA games have not ended goalless. These matches average 3.94 goals. In this season’s UCL, their games average 4.58 goals.
UCL tips & predictions:
- Both teams to score (very strong trend)
- Over 2.5 goals (very likely)
- Lamine Yamal to score (scored in last 3 UCL games)
- Julian Alvarez to score (14 goals in last 17 UCL matches)
Clean sheet chance: Very low for both teams
Paris Saint-Germain vs Liverpool
The head-to-head is balanced with 3 wins each. However, Paris have won both two-legged ties between the sides, including last season’s knockout win on penalties.
Paris are in strong form against English teams. They have lost only one of their last 10 matches against them (W7 D2) and are unbeaten in 7 games (W5 D2).
Before taking on PSG, Liverpool will face a strong Man City side in the FA Cup quarter-finals. City recently won the League Cup against Arsenal. PSG will come in fresh for the fixture.
They have also won their last 4 two-legged ties against English clubs. Last season, they knocked out Liverpool, Aston Villa and Arsenal and went on to lift the title for the first time in their history.
Paris have won their last 4 UCL quarterfinal ties and their last 6 two-legged ties overall.
Liverpool also look dangerous. They have won 6 of their last 8 quarterfinal ties. They have also won 7 of their last 11 UEFA matches against French teams.
UCL tips & predictions:
- Both teams to score
- Over 2.5 goals
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score (goals in last 3 knockout games)
- Dominik Szoboszlai to score/assist (scored in 5 of last 8 UCL matches)
Clean sheet chance: Low